ʻO ka hoʻomaopopo ʻana i ka mākeke bipi a me ka bear

ʻIke paha ʻoe i ke ʻano o ka mākeke bear a me ka mākeke bipi? Que me diriez-vous si je vous disais que le taureau et l’ours sont impliqués dans tout ça ? Inā he mea hou ʻoe i ka honua kālepa, ʻo ka hoʻomaopopo ʻana i ke ʻano o ka mākeke bipi a me ka mākeke bear e lilo i hoa pili e hoʻi hou i ka wāwae ʻākau i nā mākeke kālā. Inā makemake ʻoe e ʻike hou aku e pili ana i nā mākeke bipi a me ka bear ma mua o ka hoʻopukapuka kālā, inā makemake ʻoe e ʻike i nā ʻano a ʻimi i ka ʻōlelo aʻoaʻo no ka hoʻopukapuka kālā ʻana i kēlā me kēia, ua hele mai ʻoe i kahi kūpono.

E hoʻomaopopo i nā ʻokoʻa nui ma waena makeke bipi a bea he hana koʻikoʻi o kā mākou waihona hoʻopukapuka. Ma ka ʻike ʻana i kēlā me kēia ʻano nui o ka mākeke, hiki iā mākou ke hana i kahi hoʻolālā hoʻokele pilikia kūpono.

Hoʻololi nā ʻano Bullish a i ʻole bearish i nā kūlana mākeke a loaʻa i ka mana ikaika i ka manaʻo o nā mea kālepa. I kēia mau makahiki i hala, cryptocurrency ua oscillated ma waena o ka bear a me ka bipi makeke i ka poʻe kālepa e hoʻololi a hoʻololi i kā lākou mau hoʻolālā e like me ke ʻano o ka honua.

Comment évolue un marché ?

Ma mua o ko mākou komo ʻana i nā kikoʻī o nā huaʻōlelo bear market a me bull market, pono mākou e wehewehe i ke ʻano o ka mākeke. ʻO ke ʻano makeke he kikoo kahi e neʻe ai kahi mākeke ma kekahi ʻaoʻao i kekahi manawa.

I nā huaʻōlelo ʻē aʻe, ʻo ia ke kuhikuhi o kahi huahana, lawelawe a i ʻole hōʻailona. E like me nā mea a pau, he hoʻomaka a he hopena kēlā me kēia mākeke a ke neʻe mau nei lākou, ʻaʻole lākou e kū mālie.

Pono e wehewehe ʻia ʻo ke kūʻai ʻana i ke ʻano o ka mākeke nā mea e hōʻailona ai i ka maikaʻi a i ʻole ka maikaʻi ʻole o ke ʻano o ka lako a me nā mea e ʻae iā mākou e nānā i ke ʻano.

He aha ka uptrend a me ka downtrend? ʻAe, eia nā ʻano ʻano ʻelua i hiki iā mākou ke ʻike:

Uptrend: ʻo ia hoʻi ke hoʻomau ʻia ka neʻe ʻana i luna e hana ana i ka holomua o ka piʻi kiʻekiʻe a me ka haʻahaʻa.

Hoʻohaʻahaʻa: ʻo ia hoʻi, ke hoʻonui ka neʻe i lalo, e hōʻike ana i nā kiʻekiʻe kiʻekiʻe a me nā haʻahaʻa haʻahaʻa.

ʻO ka mākeke bea

Ua ʻōlelo pinepine ʻia e huli ka mākeke ma hope o ka hoʻoponopono ʻana a i ʻole ka emi ʻana ma mua o 20% mai ke kiʻekiʻe hope loa. A ʻo kekahi o nā mea hana i hoʻohana nui ʻia e ʻike i ka wā i huli ai kahi mākeke i bearish ka awelika neʻe maʻalahi he 200 lā.

Ma keʻano laulā, lawe ʻia ka awelika o 200 mau kau no ka mea i manaʻo ʻia he helu kokoke o nā kau kālepa i hoʻokahi makahiki holoʻokoʻa. No laila, e kamaʻilio mākou e pili ana i nā mākeke bear ke emi ke kumukūʻai ma lalo o ka awelika o ka makahiki i hala.

I ka lawe ʻana i kēia ʻoiaʻiʻo, ua ʻike maopopo ʻia ʻo ka hapa nui o ka manawa ʻoi aku ke kumukūʻai ma luna o ka awelika maʻalahi o na manawa 200, e like me ka hōʻike ʻana o kēia pakuhi o ka Dow Jones i ka manawa lōʻihi loa mai 1896 a 2018: ka 65% māke kūʻai waiwai kālepa ma luna o kāna 200-lā neʻe awelika.

Nā kuhikuhi waiwai (a me nā hana e hoʻohālike ai iā lākou) ʻoi aku ka nui o ka manawa e piʻi ai i lalo. Hāʻawi kēia iā mākou i kahi hiʻohiʻona mua o ke koʻikoʻi nui: inā ʻaʻole i kaupalena ʻia kā mākou kālepa i ka scalping (ke ʻano kālepa wikiwiki loa).

Akā ʻoi aʻe e pili ana i ka wehe ʻana i nā kūlana a me ka wehe ʻana iā lākou no kahi manawa lōʻihi, pono wau e hoʻomanaʻo i nā kūlana pōkole a i ʻole nā ​​​​kūlana bearish maʻamau ka lōʻihi o ka lōʻihi ma mua o nā kūlana lōʻihi a bullish paha. Ma kahi pōkole, kūʻē ka manawa iaʻu: pono wau e ʻike ʻoi aku ka pōkole o ka neʻe bearish ma mua o ka neʻe ʻana i luna.

ʻO kekahi mea e hoʻomanaʻo inā wau "ke aloaliʻi"ʻo ia ka loaʻa ʻana o kahi pilikia o nā rallies bullish ikaika. He mea maʻamau loa kēia o ka hāʻule ʻana o ka mākeke: ʻo nā rebounds i ʻike ʻia, a pili i ka piʻi ʻoi a me ka piʻi koke ʻana, he ikaika loa. ʻO kēia ke kumu, ma waena o nā mea ʻē aʻe, i ka pani ʻana o nā kūlana pōkole e kū ana ma hope o ka hoʻoponopono ʻana o ka mākeke, i ʻike ʻia ma ka ʻōlelo Pelekane ʻo "pōkole".

Comment identifier le marché baissier ?

ʻO ka mākeke bear kahi mākeke e hoʻomau mau ana i lalo i ka manawa a kahi i manaʻo nui ʻole ai nā mea hoʻopukapuka e piʻi i luna. ʻIke ʻia kēia ʻano mākeke ma ke ʻano he mākeke bear.

Ma kahi mākeke bear, hoʻopiʻi ka manaʻo maikaʻi ʻole i nā mea hoʻopukapuka a ʻoi aku ka ʻino o ka downtrend, ma muli o ka pessimism maʻamau a puni ka mākeke. Ke kū ka mea kū'ē a lanakila ka manaʻo maikaʻi, e hoʻokau i ka mākeke kiʻekiʻe a kiʻekiʻe, kapa mākou iā ia he kuai bipi.

Loaʻa ka hoʻopaʻapaʻa ma waena o nā mea loiloi a me nā mea hoʻopukapuka e pili ana i ka hoʻomau a me ka nui o ka emi ʻana o ka mākeke no ka manaʻo ʻia he mākeke bear.

ʻAʻole kēia mau ʻano kūlana wale nō e hāʻule ai kahi mākeke. ʻO ka hoʻoponopono ʻana he hāʻule pōkole ʻoi aku ka liʻiliʻi ma mua o ʻelua, a ʻo nā hāʻule ʻana he hāʻule hikiwawe hiki ke alakaʻi i nā hopena maikaʻi ʻole.

Nā ʻano o ka mākeke bea

I kēia manawa ua ʻike ʻoe i ke ʻano o ka mākeke bear, e nānā kākou i kekahi mau hiʻohiʻona o ka mākeke bear.

• ʻO ka bear market kahi ʻano mākeke kahi i loaʻa kahi hoʻonui i ka lako a me ka emi ʻana o ka noi, ʻo ia hoʻi, ʻoi aku ka nui o ka poʻe i manaʻo e kūʻai aku ma mua o ke kūʻai.
• Ma muli o nele i ka poe kuai, hoʻomaka nā'āpana i hāʻawiʻia e hāʻule, a hiki i nā kumukūʻai kiʻekiʻe loa, e koi ana i nā mea kālā e kūʻai koke aku i kēia mau'āpana e ho'āʻo e loaʻa ka waiwai.
• hilinaʻi ʻole a me ka manaʻo manaʻo ʻO ka hopena o ka mākeke e hoʻoulu ai i nā mea hoʻopukapuka e makaʻu i ka nalowale o kā lākou kālā, no laila kūʻai koke lākou i kā lākou mau waiwai.
• Hoʻopili pinepine ʻia kahi mākeke bear me a hoʻokele waiwai e hele ana i kahi kūlana maikaʻi ʻole kālā, ʻaʻole lawa ka loaʻa kālā o nā ʻoihana no ka mea ʻaʻole hoʻolilo nā mea kūʻai aku i nā mea e pono ai ke ola.

Pehea ka lōʻihi o ka mākeke bear?

ʻO ka ʻoiaʻiʻo ʻaʻole hiki iā ʻoe ke haʻi pololei i ka lōʻihi o ka mākeke bear. He pōkole ko lākou manawa ma mua o nā bipi. I loko o ka mōʻaukala, ua ʻike mākou i kēia ʻano mākeke.

ʻO kahi hiʻohiʻona o kahi mākeke bear e hiki ke ʻōlelo ʻia ʻo ka hāʻule ʻana o ka mākeke kūʻai o Wall Street o 1929, kahi pilikia i kapa ʻia " ʻO ke kaumaha nui ". Eia naʻe, ʻaʻole hiki ke hoʻoholo i ka manawa kūpono, akā hiki ke hana i ka nānā ʻana i ka mākeke a noiʻi i nā probabilities o kahi mākeke bear e hoʻomaka a hoʻopau paha.

Pehea e hoʻokomo ai i kahi mākeke bear?

Ma muli o nā hiʻohiʻona i kapa ʻia e mākou he mākeke bear, ʻike ʻia paha he manaʻo maikaʻi ʻole ke kālele ʻana i kēia ʻano mākeke. Eia naʻe, hiki i kēia ke hōʻike iā ia iho he manawa kālā nui, no ka mea, hiki ke kūʻai ʻia nā waiwai ma nā kumukūʻai haʻahaʻa i mea e loaʻa ai ka hoʻihoʻi maikaʻi i ka wā e hiki mai ana.

Eia kekahi mau ʻōlelo aʻoaʻo no ka hoʻokomo ʻana i kahi mākeke bear:

1. Loaʻa i nā manawa a pau kahi kālā pilikia

E hoʻomanaʻo i ka pili pinepine ʻana o nā mākeke bear i nā pōpilikia waiwai, no laila inā e hoʻemi ʻia kāu loaʻa kālā, hiki iā ʻoe ke hoʻomaha iā ʻoe iho ma ka hōʻemi ʻana i ka hiki ke kūʻai aku i nā waiwai.

2. E hoʻomanaʻo i nā hoʻopukapuka wā lōʻihi

Mai noʻonoʻo i nā hoʻopukapuka pōkole a me ka manawa waena. Ua hōʻike ka mōʻaukala i ka wā lōʻihi, hoʻonui mau ka hoʻopukapuka kālā. E hoʻomanaʻo hoʻi ʻo ka bear market ka lōʻihi o ka manawa ma mua o nā mākeke bipi.

3. E hana i kahi hoʻolālā hoʻopukapuka kālā a paʻa iā ia

Inā loaʻa iā ʻoe kahi hoʻolālā i hoʻonohonoho maikaʻi ʻia, ʻoi aku ka maikaʻi o ka makaʻu ma mua o nā helu haʻahaʻa. Mai ho'ōki i ka hoʻokomoʻana i kēia kūlana, no ka mea, hiki mai nā lā o ka loaʻa kālā nui loa ma nā mākeke i ka wā o ka bearish loa.

4. Mai lilo i ka walaau o ka makeke

E hoʻomanaʻo ma mua o ka pilikia o ka hoʻokele waiwai, ʻoi aku ka melemele o ka media a hoʻolaha i nā poʻomanaʻo weliweli. E ho'āʻo e haʻalele iā lākou a pili i kāu hoʻolālā.

5. E kūʻai wale aku inā he mea nui

I kēia mau hihia, he hewa ke kūʻai aku. Malia paha ma ka manawa e noʻonoʻo ai ʻoe, aia ʻoe i kahi manawa mākeke bipi hou. Ma ke kūʻai ʻana i kahi mākeke bear, hiki iā ʻoe ke hoʻokō i kāu mau poho.

ʻO ka mākeke bipi

Ke kamaʻilio mākou e pili ana i kahi mākeke bipi, ke ʻōlelo nei mākou i kahi kūlana maʻamau. Eia kekahi, ma waho aʻe o ke kūlana hui, hiki ia i ka manawa waena a lōʻihi paha. No laila, he kūlana maʻamau ia i mau makahiki.

Heluhelu : Mai nā panakō kuʻuna i nā cryptocurcies 

I kēia manawa, kūpono ke nīnau: he aha ka mea e hana ai i kēia kūlana maʻamau e mau ana a i ʻole hiki ke lōʻihi no kekahi mau makahiki? ʻO ka mea e hana ʻia ʻo ka hapa nui o nā waiwai kālā e hoʻonui mālie.

I mea e maʻalahi ai ka hoʻomaopopo ʻana i ka manaʻo, e hoʻokaʻawale mākou i ka wehewehe ma nā helu:

• He kūlana kūʻai kumukūʻai ia mai ka wā i kū ai ma makeke kālā ma ka laulā a i ʻole ka mea i kapa ʻia ʻo ka mākeke kūʻai.
• ʻO kēia ka hapa nui o nā waiwai kālā, no ka mea he ʻano hui like ia e neʻe ai ka hapa nui o nā waiwai i hoʻokahi ala.
• ʻO ke kuhikuhi a lākou e lawe nei he bullish. Ke kamaʻilio mākou e pili ana i nā bipi, ʻōlelo mākou e piʻi ana lākou, ke hoʻonui nei lākou i kā lākou kumukūʻai. No kekahi laʻana, ke piʻi aʻe ke kumu kūʻai, e piʻi aʻe. A eia kekahi, i ka wā e piʻi ai no ka manawa lōʻihi, ʻōlelo ʻia aia i kahi uptrend.

Nā hiʻohiʻona o kahi mākeke bipi

I loko o ka mōʻaukala, ua nui nā mākeke bipi. He cyclical ka mākeke no laila aia nā ʻāpana o ka hoʻonui lōʻihi (mau mākeke bipi) a me nā pae o ka emi mau ʻana (bear markets). Mai kēia, hiki iā mākou ke unuhi i nā kikoʻī e pili ana i kahi mākeke bipi:

• Aia ka hapa nui o nā waiwai i ka uptrend.
• Hele pū kēia me kahi kūlana hoʻokele waiwai maikaʻi kahi e piʻi ai ka nui o ka huahana (GDP) a me ka emi ʻana o ka hana ʻole.
• He ʻāpana ia o ka pōʻai kūʻai waiwai. Akā i ka manawa like, i loko o ka mākeke bipi, aia nā sub-phases like ʻole.
• ʻOi aku ka lōʻihi o nā mākeke Bull ma mua o nā mākeke bear.
• Eia kekahi, ʻoi aku ka lōʻihi, ʻoi aku ka liʻiliʻi o ka volatile. ʻO ia hoʻi, ʻaʻohe ʻano koli e like me nā mākeke bear.

Eia naʻe, ʻaʻole pono ka mea i luna e alakaʻi iā mākou e manaʻoʻiʻo e neʻe kiʻekiʻe nā waiwai kālā āpau. Aia nā kumukūʻai e iho ana i nā mākeke bipi, a pono mākou e hoʻomanaʻo mau i kēlā. He maʻi lele ka mākeke a ʻike mākou i ka piʻi ʻana o nā waiwai he nui i ka wā e noho ai mākou i kahi mākeke bipi, akā pono ʻoe e makaʻala.

Heluhelu 'atikala: Pehea e ʻike ai i kahi mea hoʻolako no kāu hale kūʻai pūnaewele?

He mea kūpono hoʻi e ʻike e hiki ke kūʻai ʻia kahi mākeke bipi ma nā ʻāina like ʻole a me nā ʻano waiwai like ʻole. No laila, hiki iā mākou ke kamaʻilio e pili ana i kahi mākeke bipi no nā paʻa, equities a i ʻole nā ​​​​mea kūʻai. ʻOiai inā he ʻoiaʻiʻo, ʻōlelo ʻia nā mea a pau, ke kamaʻilio mākou i kahi mākeke bullish a bearish paha, ʻike mākou i ka mākeke kūʻai.

Pehea e hoʻokomo kālā ai i kahi mākeke bipi?

ʻAʻole like me ka mākeke bear, ʻo ka hoʻopukapuka ʻana i ka mākeke bipi e hoʻopuka mau i nā hoʻihoʻi maikaʻi i ka wā pōkole. No laila, e waiho mākou i kahi leka me ka ʻōlelo aʻo e pono ai ʻoe:

• ʻO ka manawa kūpono e hoʻomākaukau ai no kahi mākeke bipi ke hāʻule mau nā kumukūʻai ma ka mākeke bear. ʻO kēia ke kumu he mea nui ka hana noiʻi mākeke.
• I ka hoʻomaka ʻana, i ka wā e hoʻomaka ai ka piʻi ʻana o nā kumukūʻai, e kūʻai i nā waiwai he nui, ʻoi aku ka maikaʻi o nā mea i hāʻule nui loa i ka mākeke bear.
• Ke ʻike ʻia nei ka mākeke bipi e nā lanakila, e kau i kou manaʻo i nā kumukūʻai kiʻekiʻe a hōʻemi i nā hōʻole e hana i kahi lumi no nā poʻe ʻē aʻe i ʻoi aku ka maikaʻi.