Ukuqonda imakethe yenkunzi nebhere

Uyazi ukuthi iyini imakethe yebhere kanye nemakethe yezinkunzi? Ungathini kimi uma ngikutshela ukuthi inkunzi nebhele kukhona konke lokhu? Uma umusha emhlabeni wokuhweba, ukuqonda ukuthi iyini imakethe yenkunzi kanye nemakethe yebhere kuzoba umlingani wakho ukuze ubuyele onyaweni olufanele ezimakethe zezimali. Uma ufuna ukwazi okwengeziwe ngezimakethe zenkunzi nebhere ngaphambi kokutshala imali, uma ufuna ukwazi izici futhi ufune izeluleko zokutshala imali kuzo zonke, usufikile endaweni efanele.

Qonda umehluko omkhulu phakathi izimakethe zenkunzi nebhere kuwumsebenzi obalulekile wephothifoliyo yethu yokutshala imali. Ngokwazi izici eziyinhloko zemakethe, singakwazi futhi ukudala isu elifanele lokulawula ubungozi.

Izitayela ze-bullish noma ze-bearish zishintsha izimo zemakethe futhi zibe nethonya elinamandla emizweni yabadayisi. Kule minyaka edlule, imali ye-crypto iye yashintshashintsha phakathi kwezimakethe zebhere nezinkunzi njengoba abahwebi beshintsha futhi bajwayelanisa namasu abo ngokuya ngenkambiso yomhlaba.

Ishintsha kanjani imakethe?

Ngaphambi kokuthi singene emininingwaneni yamatemu emakethe yebhere kanye nemakethe yezinkunzi, sidinga ukuchaza ukuthi iyini inkambiso yemakethe. Ukuthambekela kwemakethe ukutsheka lapho imakethe ihamba ibheke endaweni ethile ngesikhathi esithile.

Ngamanye amazwi, isiqondiso somkhiqizo, isevisi noma umkhiqizo. Njenganoma yini, yonke inkambiso yemakethe inesiqalo nesiphetho futhi ihlala ihamba, ngeke ime nse.

Kufanele kucaciswe ukuthi ukuthengiswa kwethrendi yemakethe yizo ezizomaka ukuthi ukuziphatha kahle noma kubi kangakanani kanye nalokho okuzosivumela ukuthi sihlaziye inkambiso.

Iyini i-uptrend ne-downtrend? Nokho, lezi izinhlobo ezimbili zamathrendi esingazithola:

I-Uptrend: okusho ukuthi uma umnyakazo uqhubeka ukhuphuka udala ukulandelana kokukhuphuka kokuphakama nokwehla.

I-Downtrend: okungukuthi, lapho ukunyakaza kunwebeka phansi, kubonisa ukuphakama okuphezulu nokuphansi okuphansi.

Imakethe yebhere

Kuvame ukushiwo ukuthi imakethe ishintsha i-bearish ngemuva kokulungiswa noma ukwehla okungaphezu kuka-20% kusukela ekugcineni okufinyelelwe. Futhi elinye lamathuluzi asetshenziswa kakhulu ukuthola lapho imakethe isiphenduke i-bearish isilinganiso esihambayo esilula sezinsuku ezingama-200.

Ngokuvamile, isilinganiso samaseshini angama-200 sithathwa njengoba kuthathwa njengenani elilinganiselwe lezikhathi zokuhweba phakathi nonyaka wonke. Ngakho-ke, singakhuluma ngezimakethe zamabhere lapho intengo ingaphansi kwesilinganiso esilinganiselwe sonyaka odlule.

Ukucabangela leli qiniso, kubonakala ngokucacile ukuthi isikhathi esiningi intengo ingaphezu kwesilinganiso esilula yezikhathi ezingama-200, njengoba le grafu ye-Dow Jones ibonisa esikhathini eside kakhulu kusukela ku-1896 kuya ku-2018: i-65% Inkomba yezimakethe zamasheya idayiswe ngaphezu kwesilinganiso sayo esinyakazayo sezinsuku ezingama-200.

Izinkomba zesitoko (kanye nezenzo ezibabumbayo) bachitha isikhathi esiningi benyuka kunokwehla. Lokhu sekuvele kusinikeza umbono wokuqala wokubaluleka okukhulu: uma ukuhweba kwethu kungagcini ku-scalping (indlela yokuhweba esheshayo).

Kodwa mayelana nokuvula izikhundla nokuzigcina zivulekile isikhathi eside, kufanele ngikhumbule ukuthi izikhundla ezimfushane noma ze-bearish ngokuvamile kufanele zibe nesikhathi esifushane kunezikhundla ezinde noma ze-bullish. Kafushane nje, isikhathi simelene nami ikakhulukazi: Kufanele ngazi ukuthi ukunyakaza kwe-bearish ngokuvamile kufushane kakhulu kunokunyakaza okuya phezulu.

Okunye okumele ngikukhumbule uma ngise “inkantolo“ukuthi kunengozi ecacile yokuphindaphinda kwe-bullish eqinile. Lokhu kuyinto evamile kakhulu yemakethe ewayo: ama-rebounds avelayo, futhi afaka ukwanda okunamandla nokuzumayo, ngokuvamile anamandla kakhulu. Lokhu kungenxa, phakathi kwezinye izinto, ukuvalwa kwezikhundla ezimfushane okwenzeka ngemva kokulungiswa kwemakethe, okuyinto ngesiNgisi eyaziwa ngokuthi “mfushane".

Ungayibona kanjani imakethe yebhere?

Imakethe yamabhere iyimakethe enokwehla okuqhubekayo kokuhamba kwesikhathi futhi lapho abatshalizimali bengenalo ithemba elikhulu ngokukhuphuka. Lolu hlobo lwemakethe lwaziwa nangokuthi imakethe yamabhere.

Emakethe yamabhere, imizwa engemihle ibamba abatshalizimali futhi ukwehla kwezomnotho kuba kubi kakhulu, ngenxa yokungabi nathemba okuvamile okuzungeze imakethe. Lapho kwenzeka okuphambene futhi nethemba linqoba, ukushayela imakethe phezulu nangaphezulu, sikubiza imakethe yezinkunzi.

Kunenkulumo-mpikiswano evamisile phakathi kwabahlaziyi nabatshalizimali mayelana nokuthi ukwehla kwezimakethe kufanele kube okusimeme futhi okumangazayo kanjani ukuze ithathwe njengemakethe yamabhere.

Lezi zinhlobo zezimo akuzona zodwa imakethe engawela kuzo. Ukulungisa amaconsi amafushane avame ukuhlala ngaphansi kokuphindwe kabili, futhi ukuphahlazeka ukuwa ngokuzumayo okungaholela emiphumeleni emibi kakhulu.

Izici zemakethe yebhere

Manje njengoba usuyazi incazelo yemakethe yebhere, ake sibheke izici ezithile zemakethe yamabhere:

• Izimakethe zamabhere ziwuhlobo lwemakethe lapho kukhona a ukwanda kokuhlinzekwa kanye nokuncipha kwesidingo, okungukuthi, kunabantu abaningi abahlose ukuthengisa kunokuthenga.
• Ngenxa ye ukuntuleka kwabathengi, amasheya akhishiwe aqala ukuwa, afinyelela amanani aphezulu kakhulu, okuphoqa abatshalizimali ukuba bathengise lawa masheya ngokushesha ukuze bazame ukwenza inzuzo.
• ukungathembani nokungabi nathemba ukuthi imakethe ekugcineni ikhiqiza yenza abatshalizimali besabe ukulahlekelwa yonke imali yabo, ngakho bathengisa ngokushesha amasheya abo.
• Imakethe yamabhere ivame ukuhlotshaniswa ne- umnotho udlula esimweni esibi zezimali, lapho izinkampani zingayenzi inzuzo eyanele ngenxa yokuthi abathengi abachithi imali abayidingayo ukuze baphile.

Imakethe yamabhere ihlala isikhathi esingakanani?

Iqiniso liwukuthi awukwazi ukusho kahle ukuthi imakethe yebhere ihlala isikhathi esingakanani. Ngokuvamile banesikhathi esifushane kunezinkunzi. Kuwo wonke umlando, siye sabona lolu hlobo lwemakethe.

Isibonelo semakethe yebhere esingacashunwa ukuphahlazeka kwemakethe yamasheya yaseWall Street ngo-1929, inkinga eyayibizwa ngokuthi " Ukucindezeleka Okukhulu ". Kodwa-ke, akunakwenzeka ukucacisa igebe lesikhathi esiqondile, kodwa kungenzeka ukwenza ukuhlaziywa kwemakethe futhi ufunde amathuba okuba imakethe yebhere iqale noma iphele.

Ungatshala kanjani imali emakethe yamabhere?

Ngenxa yezici esiziqambe ngemakethe yebhere, cishe kubonakala kuwumqondo omubi ukutshala imali kulolu hlobo lwemakethe. Nokho, lokhu kungaziveza njengethuba elihle lezezimali, njengoba izimpahla zingathengwa ngamanani aphansi ukuze uthole imbuyiselo enhle esikhathini esizayo.

Nawa amanye amathiphu okutshala imali emakethe yamabhere:

1. Hlala unesikhwama sezimo eziphuthumayo esitholakalayo

Khumbula ukuthi izimakethe zamabhere zivame ukuxhunyaniswa nezinkinga zomnotho, ngakho uma iholo lakho lincishisiwe, ungazibamba ngokunciphisa amathuba okuthengisa impahla.

2. Gcina ukutshalwa kwezimali kwesikhathi eside engqondweni

Ungagxili ekutshalweni kwezimali kwesikhathi esifushane nesimaphakathi. Umlando ukhombisile ukuthi ngokuhamba kwesikhathi, ukutshalwa kwezimali kuhlale kukhuphuka. Futhi khumbula ukuthi izimakethe zamabhere ngokuvamile zihlala isikhathi esincane kunezimakethe zezinkunzi.

3. Yenza uhlelo lokutshala izimali futhi unamathele kulo

Uma unohlelo oluhlelwe kahle, ukwesaba ngaphambi kokuba izinombolo eziphansi zibe ngcono. Ungayeki ukutshala imali kulesi simo, ngoba izinsuku zenzuzo enkulu ezimakethe zenzeka phakathi nezigaba ze-bearish.

4. Ungaze uthathwe umsindo wasemakethe

Khumbula ukuthi ngaphambi kwezinkinga zomnotho, abezindaba bavame ukuba phuzi futhi bashicilele izihloko ezishaqisayo. Zama ukuziba futhi unamathele ohlelweni lwakho.

5. Thengisa kuphela uma kubaluleke kakhulu

Kulezi zimo, kuyiphutha ukuthengisa. Mhlawumbe ngesikhathi ucabanga ngakho, usuvele usenkathini entsha yemakethe yezinkunzi. Ngokuthengisa emakethe yamabhere, uzokwazi kuphela ukuzuza ukulahlekelwa kwakho.

Imakethe yezinkunzi

Uma sikhuluma ngemakethe yezinkunzi, sibhekisela esimweni esivamile. Ngaphezu kwalokho, ngaphezu kokuba isimo esihlangene, kwenzeka esikhathini esiphakathi noma eside. Ngakho-ke ngokuvamile kuyisimo esithatha iminyaka eminingana.

Isihloko okufanele sifundwe : Kusukela emabhange endabuko kuya cryptocurrencies 

Manje, kunengqondo ukubuza: kwenzekani kulesi simo esivamile esivame ukuhlala noma esingahlala iminyaka eminingana? Okwenzekayo ukuthi izimpahla eziningi zezimali zikhula kancane kancane.

Ukwenza umqondo ube lula ukuwuqonda, sizohlukanisa incazelo ngamaphuzu:

• Kuyisimo semakethe yamasheya kusukela kwenzeka izimakethe zezimali ngokuvamile noma lokho okuvame ukubizwa ngokuthi imakethe yamasheya.
• Lona ubuningi bezimpahla zezezimali, njengoba kuyisenzakalo esihlanganyelwe lapho iningi lamanani lihamba libheke ohlangothini olulodwa.
• Indlela abayithathayo i-bullish. Uma sikhuluma ngezinkunzi sithi ziyakhuphuka, zikhuphula intengo yazo. Isibonelo, lapho isitokwe sikhuphuka, siya phezulu. Futhi, ngaphezu kwalokho, lapho iphakama isikhathi eside, kuthiwa isesimweni sokukhuphuka.

Izici zemakethe yezinkunzi

Kuwo wonke umlando, kuye kwaba nezimakethe eziningi zezinkunzi. Imakethe yamasheya inomjikelezo ngakho kunezigaba zokukhula okude (izimakethe zezinkunzi) kanye nezigaba zokwehla okuqhubekayo (izimakethe zamabhere). Kulokhu, singakhipha imininingwane ebonisa imakethe yezinkunzi:

• Izimpahla eziningi ziku-uptrend.
• Lokhu kuvame ukuhambisana nesimo esihle somnotho lapho isamba somkhiqizo wasekhaya (GDP) sikhuphuka nokuntuleka kwemisebenzi kuncipha.
• Iyingxenye yomjikelezo wemakethe yamasheya. Kodwa ngesikhathi esifanayo, ngaphakathi kwemakethe yezinkunzi, kunezigaba ezincane ezihlukene.
• Izimakethe zezinkunzi zivame ukuhlala isikhathi eside kunezimakethe zamabhere.
• Futhi, ngaphezu kokuba zinde, zivame ukungaguquguquki kancane. Okusho ukuthi, azikho izinguquko ezisheshayo njengasezimakethe zamabhere.

Nokho, lokhu okungenhla akufanele kusenze sikholwe ukuthi zonke izimpahla zezimali ziya phezulu. Kukhona amasheya ehla ezimakethe zezinkunzi, futhi kufanele sihlale sikukhumbula lokho. Imakethe iyathelelana futhi sizobona izimpahla eziningi zikhuphuka uma sisemakethe yezinkunzi, kodwa kufanele uqaphele.

I-athikili okufanele ifundwe: Ungamthola kanjani umphakeli wesitolo sakho esiku-inthanethi?

Kuyafaneleka futhi ukuqaphela ukuthi imakethe yezinkunzi ingenzeka ezindaweni ezahlukene kanye namasethi ahlukene wezimpahla. Ngakho-ke, singakhuluma ngemakethe yenkunzi yamabhondi, izabelo noma izimpahla. Ngisho noma kuyiqiniso, konke okushiwoyo, ukuthi lapho sikhuluma ngemakethe ye-bullish noma ye-bearish, ngokuvamile sibhekisela emakethe yamasheya.

Ungatshala kanjani imali emakethe yezinkunzi?

Ngokungafani nemakethe yamabhere, ukutshala imali emakethe yezinkunzi kuhlale kukhiqiza imbuyiselo emangalisayo ngesikhathi esifushane. Ngakho-ke, sizokushiyela inothi elineseluleko esizoba wusizo kuwe:

• Isikhathi esifanele sokulungiselela imakethe yezinkunzi yi lapho amanani eqhubeka ehla emakethe yamabhere. Yingakho kubalulekile ukwenza ucwaningo lwemakethe.
• Ekuqaleni, lapho amanani eqala ukukhuphuka, thenga amasheya amaningi, okungcono lezo ezehle kakhulu ngesikhathi semakethe yamabhere.
• Njengoba imakethe yezinkunzi ibonakala ngezinzuzo, gxilisa ukunaka kwakho ezitokweni zekhwalithi ephezulu futhi unciphise ukuncipha ukuze uvulele isikhala sabanye abangcono.