Ukuqonda imarike yenkomo kunye nebhere

Ngaba uyazi ukuba yintoni imarike yebhere kunye nemarike yenkomo? Ungathini kum xa ndikuxelela ukuba inkunzi nebhere zibandakanyeke kuyo yonke lento? Ukuba umtsha kwihlabathi lezorhwebo, ukuqonda ukuba yintoni imarike yenkomo kunye nemarike yebhere iya kuba ngumhlobo wakho wokubuyela kwinyawo elifanelekileyo kwiimarike zemali. Ukuba ufuna ukwazi ngakumbi malunga neemarike zenkunzi kunye neebhere ngaphambi kokuba utyale imali, ukuba ufuna ukwazi iimpawu kwaye ufune iingcebiso malunga nokutyala imali kuzo zonke, ufikile kwindawo efanelekileyo.

Qonda umahluko ophambili phakathi iimarike zenkomo neebhere ngowona msebenzi wotyalo-mali lwethu. Ngokwazi nganye yeempawu eziphambili zemarike, sinokwenza isicwangciso esifanelekileyo sokulawula umngcipheko.

Iindlela ze-Bullish okanye ze-bearish zitshintsha iimeko zemarike kwaye zinempembelelo enamandla kwiimvakalelo zabarhwebi. Le minyaka idlulileyo, cryptocurrency iye yaxubana phakathi kweemarike zebhere kunye nenkunzi njengoko abarhwebi betshintsha kwaye bahlengahlengisa izicwangciso zabo ngokwendlela yehlabathi.

Ingaba imarike ivela njani?

Phambi kokuba singene kwiinkcukacha zamagama emarike yebhere kunye nemarike yenkunzi, kufuneka sichaze ukuba yintoni na intsingiselo yemarike. Intsingiselo yemarike kukuthambeka apho imakethi isiya kwicala elithile ngexesha elithile.

Ngamanye amazwi, lulwalathiso lwemveliso, inkonzo okanye uphawu. Njengayo nayiphi na into, yonke intsingiselo yeemarike inesiqalo kunye nesiphelo kwaye zihlala zihamba, azisoze zime.

Kufuneka kucaciswe ukuba ukuthengiswa kwindlela yemarike yizo eziya kuphawula indlela echanekileyo okanye embi ngayo indlela yokuziphatha yokubonelela kunye nezo ziya kusivumela ukuba sihlalutye umkhwa.

Yintoni i-uptrend kunye ne-downtrend? Ewe, ezi zimbini iintlobo zeendlela esinokuzifumana:

Uphuculo: oko kukuthi xa intshukumo iqhubeka phezulu idala ukulandelelana kokunyuka okuphezulu kunye nokunyuka.

Umzila osezantsi: oko kukuthi, xa intshukumo iqhubela phantsi, ibonisa ukuphakama okuphezulu kunye nezantsi.

Imarike yeebhere

Ngokuqhelekileyo kuthiwa imarike ijika i-bearish emva kokulungiswa okanye ukuhla kwe-20% ukusuka kwindawo yokugqibela efikelelweyo. Kwaye esinye sezona zixhobo zisetyenziselwa ukufumanisa xa imarike iguqule i-bearish umndilili ohambahambayo weentsuku ezingama-200.

Ngokubanzi, i-avareji yeeseshoni ze-200 ithathwa njengoko ithathwa njengenani eliqikelelweyo leeseshoni zokurhweba kunyaka wonke. Ke, besiza kuthetha ngeemarike zeebhere xa ixabiso lingaphantsi komndilili oqikelelweyo wonyaka ophelileyo.

Ukuthatha le nyaniso kwi-akhawunti, kubonakala ngokucacileyo ukuba ixesha elininzi ixabiso lingaphezulu kwe-avareji elula yamaxesha angama-200, njengoko le grafu yeDow Jones ibonisa kwixesha elide kakhulu ukusuka kwi-1896 ukuya kwi-2018: i-65% isalathisi semarike yemasheya ithengiswe ngaphezulu komndilili wayo weentsuku ezingama-200.

Izalathi zempahla (kunye nezenzo ezizibumbayo) zichitha ixesha elininzi sinyuka kunasehla. Oku sele kusinika imbono yokuqala yokubaluleka okukhulu: ukuba urhwebo lwethu alukhawulelwanga kwi-scalping (indlela yokuthengisa ngokukhawuleza).

Kodwa ngakumbi malunga nokuvula izikhundla kunye nokuzigcina zivulekile ixesha elide, kufuneka ndikhumbule ukuba izithuba ezimfutshane okanye ze-bearish kufuneka zibe nexesha elifutshane kunexesha elide okanye le-bullish. Kwimeko emfutshane, ixesha lichasene nam: kufuneka ndazi ukuba intshukumo ye-bearish imfutshane kakhulu kunentshukumo ephezulu.

Enye into ekufuneka uyikhumbule ukuba "enkantolo"kukuba kukho umngcipheko ocacileyo wokuphindaphinda okunamandla kwe-bullish. Le yinto eqhelekileyo yemarike yokuwohloka: i-rebounds evelayo, kwaye ebandakanya ukunyuka okunamandla kunye nokunyuka ngokukhawuleza, ngokubanzi kunamandla kakhulu. Oku kungenxa, phakathi kwezinye izinto, ukuvalwa kwezithuba ezimfutshane ezenzeka emva kokulungiswa kweemarike, ezithi ngesiNgesi zaziwa ngokuba “mfutshane".

Indlela yokuchonga imarike yeebhere?

Imarike yeebhere yimarike enendlela ethe gqolo ehlayo ekuhambeni kwexesha nalapho abatyali-mali bengenathemba kakhulu lokunyuka. Olu hlobo lwentengiso lukwabizwa ngokuba yimarike yeebhere.

Kwimarike yebhere, iimvakalelo ezingalunganga zibamba abatyali-mali kwaye i-downtrend iba mbi ngakumbi, ngenxa yokungathembeki ngokubanzi okujikeleze imarike. Xa okuchaseneyo kwenzeka kwaye ithemba linqoba, ukuqhuba imarike phezulu nangaphezulu, siyibiza imarike yenkomo.

Kukho ingxoxo rhoqo phakathi kwabahlalutyi kunye nabatyali-mali malunga nokuba uzinzile kwaye ukwehla okumangalisayo kwemarike kufuneka kube njalo ukuze ithathwe njengemarike yebhere.

Ezi ntlobo zeemeko azikho kuphela apho imarike inokuwela khona. Ukulungiswa ngamathontsi amafutshane ahlala ehlala ngaphantsi kabini, kwaye iingozi ngamathontsi ngequbuliso angakhokelela kwiziphumo ezibi kakhulu.

Iimpawu zentengiso yeebhere

Ngoku ukuba uyayazi intsingiselo yentengiso yeebhere, makhe sijonge ezinye iimpawu zentengiso yeebhere:

• Iimarike zeebhere luhlobo lwemarike apho kukho a ukwanda kobonelelo kunye nokuncipha kwemfuno, oko kukuthi, kukho abantu abaninzi abanenjongo yokuthengisa kunokuthenga.
• Kungenxa yokuba ukunqongophala kwabathengi, izabelo ezikhutshiweyo ziqala ukuwa, zifikelela kumaxabiso aphezulu kakhulu, ukunyanzela abatyali-mali ukuba bathengise ezi zabelo ngokukhawuleza ukuze bazame ukwenza inzuzo.
• ukungathembani nokungabi nathemba ukuba imarike ekugqibeleni ivelisa ukwenza abatyali-mali besaba ukulahlekelwa yimali yabo yonke, ngoko bathengisa ngokukhawuleza amasheya abo.
• Imarike yeebhere idla ngokunxulunyaniswa ne uqoqosho luhamba kwimeko embi zemali, apho iinkampani zingenzi ngeniso yaneleyo kuba abathengi abachithi imali abayifunayo ukuze baphile.

Imakethi yebhere ihlala ixesha elingakanani?

Inyaniso kukuba awukwazi ukuxelela ngokuthe ngqo ukuba imarike yebhere ihlala ixesha elingakanani. Ngokuqhelekileyo zinexesha elifutshane kuneenkunzi zenkomo. Kuyo yonke imbali, siye salubona olu hlobo lwentengiso.

Umzekelo wemarike yebhere enokukhankanywa kukuwohloka kwemarike yemasheya yaseWall Street ngo-1929, ingxaki eyayibizwa ngokuba " Uxinzelelo olukhulu ". Nangona kunjalo, akunakwenzeka ukumisela i-gap yexesha elichanekileyo, kodwa kunokwenzeka ukwenza uhlalutyo lwemarike kwaye ufunde amathuba okuba i-market market iqale okanye iphele.

Indlela yokutyala imali kwimarike yeebhere?

Ngenxa yeempawu esizibize ngokuba yimarike yeebhere, kubonakala ngathi licebo elibi ukutyala imali kolu hlobo lwemarike. Nangona kunjalo, oku kunokuzibonakalisa njengethuba elikhulu lemali, njengoko ii-asethi zingathengwa ngamaxabiso aphantsi ukuze ufumane imbuyekezo enhle kwixesha elizayo.

Nanga amanye amacebiso otyalo-mali kwimarike yeebhere:

1. Soloko unayo ingxowa-mali yexesha likaxakeka

Khumbula ukuba iimarike zeebhere zidla ngokunxulunyaniswa neengxaki zoqoqosho, ngoko ke ukuba umvuzo wakho uncitshisiwe, ungazithobisa ngokunciphisa amathuba okuthengisa impahla.

2. Gcina utyalo-mali lwexesha elide engqondweni

Musa ukugxila kutyalo-mali lwexesha elifutshane neliphakathi. Imbali ibonise ukuba kwixesha elide, utyalo-mali luhlala lukhula. Kwakhona khumbula ukuba iimarike zeebhere zihlala ixesha elincinci kuneemarike zenkunzi.

3. Yenza isicwangciso sotyalo-mali kwaye unamathele kuso

Ukuba unesicwangciso esakhiwe kakuhle, uloyiko ngaphambi kokuba amanani aphantsi abe ngcono. Musa ukuyeka ukutyalomali kule meko, kuba iintsuku zenzuzo enkulu kwiimarike zenzeka ngexesha lezona zigaba ze-bearish.

4. Musa ukukhukuliswa yingxolo yemarike

Gcina ukhumbule ukuba ngaphambi kokudodobala kwezoqoqosho, amajelo eendaba athande ukuba tyheli kwaye apapashe izihloko ezothusayo. Zama ukubahoya kwaye unamathele kwisicwangciso sakho.

5. Thengisa kuphela ukuba ibaluleke kakhulu

Kule meko, kuyimpazamo ukuthengisa. Mhlawumbi ngexesha ucinga ngayo, sele ukwixesha elitsha lemarike yenkunzi. Ngokuthengisa kwimarike yeebhere, uya kukwazi ukwenza ilahleko yakho kuphela.

Imarike yenkomo

Xa sithetha ngemarike yenkomo, sibhekisela kwimeko eqhelekileyo. Ngaphezu koko, ngaphezu kokuba yimeko edibeneyo, iyenzeka kwixesha eliphakathi okanye elide. Ngoko ke ngokuqhelekileyo yimeko ehlala iminyaka emininzi.

Inqaku eliza kufundwa : Ukusuka kwiibhanki zemveli ukuya kwi-cryptocurrencies 

Ngoku, kunengqiqo ukubuza: kwenzeka ntoni kule meko eqhelekileyo ehlala ihlala okanye inokuhlala iminyaka emininzi? Into eyenzekayo kukuba uninzi lwee-asethi zemali zikhula ngokuthe ngcembe.

Ukwenza ingcamango ibe lula ukuyiqonda, siya kucazulula inkcazo ngamanqaku:

• Yimeko yemarike yemasheya ukususela oko kwenzeka iimarike zemali ngokubanzi okanye into ebizwa ngokuba yi-stock market.
• Olu luninzi lwee-asethi zemali, kuba yinto edibeneyo apho uninzi lwamaxabiso luhamba kwicala elinye.
• Icala abalithathayo libubhilidi. Xa sithetha ngeenkunzi zenkomo, sithi ziyanyuka, zinyusa ixabiso. Ngokomzekelo, xa isitokhwe sinyuka, sihamba phezulu. Kwaye, ukongeza, xa iphakama ixesha elide, kuthiwa ikwi-uptrend.

Iimpawu zemarike yenkunzi

Ukutyhubela imbali, bekukho iimarike ezininzi zeenkunzi. Imarike yemasheya ingumjikelo ngoko kukho izigaba zokunyuka kwexesha elide (iimarike zenkunzi) kunye nezigaba zokuhla okuqhubekayo (iimarike zeebhere). Kule nto, sinokukhupha iinkcukacha ezibonisa imarike yenkunzi:

• Uninzi lwee-asethi zikwi-uptrend.
• Oku kudla ngokuhambelana nemeko yoqoqosho elungileyo apho ingeniso yelizwe jikelele (i-GDP) inyuka kwaye intswela-ngqesho iyancipha.
• Iyinxalenye yomjikelezo wemarike yemasheya. Kodwa kwangaxeshanye, ngaphakathi kwimarike yenkomo, kukho amanqanaba asezantsi ahlukeneyo.
• Iimarike zeBull zikholisa ukuhlala ixesha elide kuneemarike zebhere.
• Kwakhona, ukongeza ekubeni zinde, zikholisa ukuba zingaguquguquki kangako. Oko kukuthi, akukho zijingi ezinje ngequbuliso njengakwiimarike zebhere.

Nangona kunjalo, oku kungasentla akufanele kusikhokelele ekukholelweni ukuba zonke ii-asethi zemali zihambela phezulu. Kukho izitokhwe ezihla kwiimarike zenkomo, kwaye kufuneka sihlale sikhumbula oko. Imakethi iyosulela kwaye siya kubona i-asethi eninzi inyuka xa sikwimarike yenkomo, kodwa kufuneka uqaphele.

Inqaku eliza kufundwa: Ungamfumana njani umthengisi kwivenkile yakho ye-intanethi?

Kukwafanelekile ukuqaphela ukuba imarike yenkunzi ingenzeka kwiindawo ezahlukeneyo zejografi kunye neeseti ezahlukeneyo ze-asethi. Ke, sinokuthetha ngentengiso yenkunzi yeebhondi, izabelo zamashishini ezingenanzala emisiweyo okanye imveliso. Nangona kuyinyani, yonke into ithi, xa sithetha nge-bullish okanye i-bearish market, sibhekisela ngokubanzi kwi-stock market.

Indlela yokutyala imali kwimarike yenkomo?

Ngokungafaniyo nemarike yeebhere, utyalo-mali kwimarike yenkomo isoloko ivelisa imbuyekezo emangalisayo ngexesha elifutshane. Ke ngoko, siya kukushiya inqaku elinengcebiso eya kuba luncedo kuwe:

• Ixesha elifanelekileyo lokulungiselela imarike yenkomo xa amaxabiso eqhubeka ehla kwimarike yeebhere. Yingakho kubalulekile ukwenza uphando lwemarike.
• Ekuqaleni, xa amaxabiso eqala ukunyuka, thenga amasheya amaninzi, ngokukhethekileyo ezo zawa kakhulu ngexesha lemarike yeebhere.
• Njengoko imakethi yenkunzi iphawulwa ngokuzuzwayo, gxininisa ingqalelo yakho kwizitokhwe ezikumgangatho ophezulu kwaye unciphise ukwehla ukuze wenze indawo yabanye abangcono.